The EURO qualifying campaign continues in Group H on Sunday, as Slovenia will be targeting a morale-boosting victory at home against San Marino. The visitors will be looking to cause a huge shock victory.
Slovenia will be heavily favoured in the betting for this showdown on Sunday, as they have their sights set on a second appearance at the European Championships. It has been a very long time since their last appearance at the major tournament, as they have failed to qualify for each of the previous five editions. One of their most disappointing qualifying campaigns came before EURO 2020.
In that campaign, Slovenia picked up just four wins from ten matches, as they finished fourth in the standings. They scored just four goals in those outings, and their form hasn’t shown much sign of picking up based on the Nations League from last year. They picked up just a single win from six matches, and scoring goals was once again a huge issue.
San Marino will be massive outsiders to reach the major tournament next year, as they are still yet to win a game in either World Cup or EURO qualifying. In the most recent edition, they lost all ten matches that they played, and they scored just one goal. That effort was just the eighth goal that they have scored in 76 EURO qualifiers.
San Marino come into this fixture having failed to win in ten internationals in 2022, while they did pick up morale-boosting draws against Seychelles and Saint Lucia. However, there is a clear difference in the quality of opposition this weekend.
Slovenia has won all five previous matches that they have played against San Marino. The visitors are yet to score a goal against Slovenia, and the previous meeting between the nations ended in a 4-0 home win for Slovenia in October 2020.
This looks set to be another testing qualifying period for San Marino, and they will likely suffer a number of heavy defeats. We struggle to see any other betting angle for this fixture on Sunday than Slovenia on the handicap market. We expect them to win by at least three clear goals.
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