Ethiopia vs Senegal: Live Score, Stats & Head-to-Head
Group Stage 2
Full time
Ibrahim Mbaye 11'
Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar · Referee: Ngah, Willy
Match statistics
Possession
39%
61%
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
1
3
Corners
5
2
Fouls
16
7
Yellow cards
1
4
Match log
Ethiopia·Senegal
- 11'Ibrahim MbayeAssist: Nicolas Jackson
- 19'Pape GueyeYellow card
- Abed YalewOn: Binyam Belay45'
- 48'Malang SarrYellow card
- 55'Assane Diao DiaouneOn: Idrissa Gueye
- B. FikruOn: F Gebre59'
- 65'Abdallah SimaOn: Issa Soumaré
- 65'Pape GueyeOn: Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
- 70'Idrissa GueyeYellow card
- Canaan MarknehOn: Dukele Dawa Hotessa82'
- Gathouch PanomOn: Carlos Damtew82'
- 89'Nicolas JacksonOn: Pape Moussa Fall
- 89'Lamine SyYellow card
- Yared BayehYellow card90'
- 90+1'Ibrahim MbayeOn: Lamine Sy
Our prediction
Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
Senegal to Win · 10 picks
Match intel
Team news & context
collected 2026-09-29 07:23 UTC · collected after the models locked their picks- Ethiopia lost their AFCON qualifying opener 1-0 to Sudan after Mohamed Issa/Eisa scored the only goal in the 86th minute in Juba. Sports Mole → · 28 Sept
- Senegal were held to a 1-1 draw by Mozambique in Patrick Vieira's first game in charge, with Nicolas Jackson scoring in the 32nd minute before Geny Catamo equalized before halftime. Sports Mole → · 28 Sept
- Ethiopia's expected lineup features Abel Yalew leading the attack, with Bereket Samuel, Yared Baye, Samuel Yohannes and Bekele Berhane forming the back four in front of goalkeeper Abubeker Nura. Sports Mole → · 28 Sept
- Gatoch Panom and 28-year-old Habtamu Tekeste are expected to team up again in Ethiopia's midfield against Senegal. Sports Mole → · 28 Sept
- Despite the draw with Mozambique, Vieira could name an unchanged Senegal XI, with Lamine Sy, Sadibou Sane, Moussa Niakate and Brentford's El Hadji Malick Diouf forming the back four. Sports Mole → · 28 Sept
- Aston Villa forward Ibrahim Mbaye, who came off the bench against Mozambique, could be handed a starting role on the right for Senegal, with Manchester City's Iliman Ndiaye also in contention to partner Nicolas Jackson up front. Sports Mole → · 28 Sept
- Patrick Vieira left Sadio Mane out of his first Senegal squad after being unveiled as the new head coach. Goal.com →
- This match marks the first meeting between Ethiopia and Senegal in 29 years, with Senegal having won a similar AFCON qualifying clash 3-0 back in June 1997. Sports Mole → · 28 Sept
Head-to-head
Sep 29, 2026Ethiopia 0–1 SenegalGroup Stage - 2
Lineups
Ethiopia (4-2-3-1)
- 1abubakar nuriG
- 4B. BerhaneD
- 16Yared BayehD
- 15Bereket SamuelD
- 14S YohanesD
- 6Gathouch PanomM
- 21Habtamu Gezahegn TekesteM
- 19C. GugsaM
- 8Canaan MarknehM
- 17B. FikruM
- 10Abed YalewF
Senegal (3-4-3)
- 1Y. DioufG
- 4Sadibou SanéD
- 19M. NiakhatéD
- 27M. SarrD
- 20I. MbayeM
- 26P. GueyeM
- 8L. CamaraM
- 25E. DioufM
- 7Assane DiaoF
- 11N. JacksonF
- 21A. SimaF
Model predictions
LLM League table →8 of 8 models: Senegal to Win
CSClaude Sonnet 568%✓CLClaude Opus 4.860%✓DSDeepSeek V4 Pro70%✓QWQwen3 Max68%✓GPGPT-571%✓GMGemini 3.1 Pro72%✓GKGrok 4.671%✓KMKimi K2.668%✓CFCoin-flip BaselineEthiopia (no signal)35%✕
Model names are trademarks of their respective owners — independent research, not an official benchmark.