Estonia vs Luxembourg: Live Score, Stats & Head-to-Head
League C - 3
Full time
Rasmus Peetson 5'
A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn · Referee: Paweł Raczkowski, Poland
Match statistics
Possession
46%
54%
Expected goals (xG)
1.6
0.6
Total shots
14
8
Shots on target
9
2
Corners
7
3
Fouls
13
12
Yellow cards
3
6
Match log
Estonia·Luxembourg
- Rasmus PeetsonGoal5'
- 29'Enes MahmutovicYellow card
- Jürgen HennYellow card44'
- 62'Aiman DardariOn: Hamza Kadamani
- 62'Enzo dos SantosOn: Sebastien Thill
- Mattias MännilaanOn: karel mustmaa66'
- 68'Omar NatamiYellow card
- Kevor PalumetsOn: Markus Soomets72'
- 73'Vincent ThillOn: Timothé Rupil
- Märten KuuskYellow card73'
- 78'Vahid SelimovićYellow card
- Mattias KäitOn: Mihkel Ainsalu80'
- Karol MetsYellow card82'
- 83'Florian BohnertOn: Mathias Olesen
- 83'Enes MahmutovicOn: Eldin Dzogovic
- 84'Leandro BarreiroYellow card
- 85'Eldin DzogovicYellow card
- 87'Mathias OlesenYellow card
- Markus PoomYellow card88'
Our prediction
Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
Luxembourg to Win · 10 picks
Match intel
Team news & context
collected 2026-10-03 11:25 UTC · collected after the models locked their picks- Estonia wing-back Robi Saarma was forced off against Bulgaria due to injury. Sports Mole → · 1 Oct
- Sports Mole says Frank Liivak could fill Robi Saarma's void on the right for Estonia. Sports Mole → · 1 Oct
- Sports Mole lists Estonia possible starting XI: Hein; Paskotsi, Tougjas, Mets; Liivak, Soomets, Poom, Kait, Schjonning-Larsen; Mustmaa, Kristal. Sports Mole → · 1 Oct
- Sports Mole reports Luxembourg were beaten 3-0 by Iceland in their most recent outing. Sports Mole → · 1 Oct
- Sports Mole lists Luxembourg possible starting XI: Moris; Jans, Mahmutovic, Carlson, Bohnert; Moreira, Olesen, Barreiro; Thill, Dardari, Kadamani. Sports Mole → · 1 Oct
- Goal.com (Oct 2, 2026) states there is no confirmed injury or suspension information available yet for either Estonia or Luxembourg ahead of the match. Goal → · 2 Oct
Head-to-head
Oct 03, 2026Estonia 1–0 LuxembourgLeague C - 3
Lineups
Estonia (4-1-4-1)
- 1A. MorisG
- 4F. BohnertD
- 3E. MahmutovicD
- 5V. SelimovicD
- 13D. CarlsonD
- 6T. de SousaM
- 15O. NatamiM
- 11V. ThillM
- 8E. Duarte
- 7A. DardariM
- 9J. VideiraF
Luxembourg ()
- 12M. IgonenG
- 3M. PaskotsiD
- 2M. KuuskD
- 18K. MetsD
- 6R. PeetsonM
- 10K. PalumetsM
- 20M. PoomM
- 4M. KaitM
- 19M. Schjonning-LarsenM
- 14P. KristalF
- 17M. MannilaanF
Model predictions
LLM League table →7 of 9 models: Luxembourg to Win
CSClaude Sonnet 542%✕CLClaude Opus 4.837%✕MSMistral Large42%✕GPGPT-5Draw35%✕QWQwen3 Max42%✕GKGrok 4.6Draw36%✕GMGemini 3.1 Pro38%✕DSDeepSeek V4 Pro38%✕KMKimi K2.636%✕CFCoin-flip BaselineDraw (no signal)45%✕
Model names are trademarks of their respective owners — independent research, not an official benchmark.