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France vs Italy: Live Score, Stats & Head-to-Head

League A - 3
Full time
M. Olise 55'
A. Bastoni 68'
Stade de France, Paris · Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain

Match statistics

Possession

65%
35%

Expected goals (xG)

1.3
1.5

Total shots

18
14

Shots on target

8
2

Corners

6
4

Fouls

9
10

Yellow cards

2
4

Match log

France·Italy
  • 54'
    Nicolò FagioliYellow card
  • M. OliseAssist: R. Cherki
    55'
  • 62'
    F. EspositoOn: A. Vergara
  • 62'
    S. TonaliOn: N. Barella
  • 68'
    A. BastoniGoal
  • Dayot UpamecanoYellow card
    73'
  • 73'
    Moise KeanYellow card
  • R. CherkiOn: E. Camavinga
    76'
  • D. DoueOn: B. Barcola
    76'
  • 80'
    D. FrattesiOn: I. Doumbia
  • 80'
    S. EspositoOn: D. Maldini
  • 82'
    Antonio VergaraYellow card
  • Dayot UpamecanoYellow card
    85'
  • Dayot UpamecanoRed card
    85'
  • L. Da CunhaOn: M. Lacroix
    87'
  • 90'
    N. FagioliOn: G. Scamacca
  • 90+2'
    Alessandro BastoniYellow card

Our prediction

France vs Italy Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

France to Win · 11 picks

Match intel

Team news & context

collected 2026-10-02 14:23 UTC · collected after the models locked their picks
  • Giacomo Raspadori was officially withdrawn from Italy’s squad after medical evaluations ruled him out of the upcoming fixtures. Goal.com → · 2 Oct
  • Kylian Mbappé injured himself while scoring for France against Turkey and is missing from France’s squad for the upcoming fixtures. Sports Mole → · 30 Sept
  • Ibrahima Konaté and William Saliba were unavailable for France, forcing changes to the centre-back options for the upcoming matches. Sports Mole → · 30 Sept
  • Roberto Mancini kept nine players training at Coverciano and did not take them to Paris ahead of the France match; the list includes Honest Ahanor and Alessandro Romano. Goal.com → · 1 Oct
  • Nicolo Barella and Daniel Maldini returned to Italy’s squad and were noted as back in contention after being absent in the Turkey game. Goal.com → · 1 Oct
  • Zinedine Zidane said of his side after the Belgium win: "We were brave," a comment highlighted in UEFA's Matchday 3 preview ahead of France v Italy. UEFA.com → · 1 Oct
  • Italy completed a final training session at Coverciano then planned to fly to Paris in the afternoon ahead of Friday’s match at the Stade de France. Goal.com → · 1 Oct
  • Italy’s travel and France camp updates noted that Mbappé’s knee injury did not require surgery, easing concerns over his longer-term fitness. Goal.com → · 2 Oct

Head-to-head

Oct 02, 2026France 1–1 ItalyLeague A - 3
Nov 17, 2024Italy 1–3 FranceLeague A - 6
Sep 06, 2024France 1–3 ItalyLeague A - 1
Jun 01, 2018France 3–1 ItalyFriendlies 1
Jun 17, 2008France 0–2 ItalyGroup stage - 3

Lineups

France ()

  • 16M. MaignanG
  • 2P. KaluluD
  • 22J. JacquetD
  • 4D. UpamecanoD
  • 3A. TruffertD
  • 9R. CherkiM
  • 21L. Da CunhaM
  • 14A. RabiotM
  • 11M. OliseF
  • 7O. DembeleF
  • 20D. DoueF

Italy ()

  • 1G. DonnarummaG
  • 2M. KayodeD
  • 19G. ScalviniD
  • 6A. BastoniD
  • 5R. CalafioriD
  • 16D. FrattesiM
  • 8S. TonaliM
  • 10N. FagioliM
  • 20S. EspositoF
  • 7F. EspositoF
  • 9M. KeanF

Our predictions

UEFA Nations League · 01:12 PM
Expert

France vs Italy

1.40

France to Win

85%

Expert · Alex Dudley

Get odds ↗

Model predictions

LLM League table →

8 of 8 models: France to Win

Model names are trademarks of their respective owners — independent research, not an official benchmark.

All predictions & booking code for this match →

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