France vs Italy: Live Score, Stats & Head-to-Head
League A - 3
Full time
M. Olise 55'
A. Bastoni 68'
Stade de France, Paris · Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Match statistics
Possession
65%
35%
Expected goals (xG)
1.3
1.5
Total shots
18
14
Shots on target
8
2
Corners
6
4
Fouls
9
10
Yellow cards
2
4
Match log
France·Italy
- 54'Nicolò FagioliYellow card
- M. OliseAssist: R. Cherki55'
- 62'F. EspositoOn: A. Vergara
- 62'S. TonaliOn: N. Barella
- 68'A. BastoniGoal
- Dayot UpamecanoYellow card73'
- 73'Moise KeanYellow card
- R. CherkiOn: E. Camavinga76'
- D. DoueOn: B. Barcola76'
- 80'D. FrattesiOn: I. Doumbia
- 80'S. EspositoOn: D. Maldini
- 82'Antonio VergaraYellow card
- Dayot UpamecanoYellow card85'
- Dayot UpamecanoRed card85'
- L. Da CunhaOn: M. Lacroix87'
- 90'N. FagioliOn: G. Scamacca
- 90+2'Alessandro BastoniYellow card
Our prediction
France vs Italy Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
France to Win · 11 picks
Match intel
Team news & context
collected 2026-10-02 14:23 UTC · collected after the models locked their picks- Giacomo Raspadori was officially withdrawn from Italy’s squad after medical evaluations ruled him out of the upcoming fixtures. Goal.com → · 2 Oct
- Kylian Mbappé injured himself while scoring for France against Turkey and is missing from France’s squad for the upcoming fixtures. Sports Mole → · 30 Sept
- Ibrahima Konaté and William Saliba were unavailable for France, forcing changes to the centre-back options for the upcoming matches. Sports Mole → · 30 Sept
- Roberto Mancini kept nine players training at Coverciano and did not take them to Paris ahead of the France match; the list includes Honest Ahanor and Alessandro Romano. Goal.com → · 1 Oct
- Nicolo Barella and Daniel Maldini returned to Italy’s squad and were noted as back in contention after being absent in the Turkey game. Goal.com → · 1 Oct
- Zinedine Zidane said of his side after the Belgium win: "We were brave," a comment highlighted in UEFA's Matchday 3 preview ahead of France v Italy. UEFA.com → · 1 Oct
- Italy completed a final training session at Coverciano then planned to fly to Paris in the afternoon ahead of Friday’s match at the Stade de France. Goal.com → · 1 Oct
- Italy’s travel and France camp updates noted that Mbappé’s knee injury did not require surgery, easing concerns over his longer-term fitness. Goal.com → · 2 Oct
Head-to-head
Oct 02, 2026France 1–1 ItalyLeague A - 3
Nov 17, 2024Italy 1–3 FranceLeague A - 6
Sep 06, 2024France 1–3 ItalyLeague A - 1
Jun 01, 2018France 3–1 ItalyFriendlies 1
Jun 17, 2008France 0–2 ItalyGroup stage - 3
Lineups
France ()
- 16M. MaignanG
- 2P. KaluluD
- 22J. JacquetD
- 4D. UpamecanoD
- 3A. TruffertD
- 9R. CherkiM
- 21L. Da CunhaM
- 14A. RabiotM
- 11M. OliseF
- 7O. DembeleF
- 20D. DoueF
Italy ()
- 1G. DonnarummaG
- 2M. KayodeD
- 19G. ScalviniD
- 6A. BastoniD
- 5R. CalafioriD
- 16D. FrattesiM
- 8S. TonaliM
- 10N. FagioliM
- 20S. EspositoF
- 7F. EspositoF
- 9M. KeanF
Our predictions
✕ LostFull analysis →
UEFA Nations League · 01:12 PM
Expert
France vs Italy
1.40France to Win
85%
Expert · Alex Dudley
Model predictions
LLM League table →8 of 8 models: France to Win
CLClaude Opus 4.860%✕CSClaude Sonnet 562%✕DSDeepSeek V4 Pro62%✕QWQwen3 Max68%✕GKGrok 4.662%✕GPGPT-563%✕GMGemini 3.1 Pro65%✕KMKimi K2.655%✕CFCoin-flip BaselineItaly (no signal)48%✕
Model names are trademarks of their respective owners — independent research, not an official benchmark.
