Iceland vs Estonia: Live Score, Stats & Head-to-Head
League C - 1
Full time
Andri Guðjohnsen 45'
Maksim Paskotsi 64'
Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavik · Referee: Milos Milanovic, Serbia
Match statistics
Possession
63%
37%
Expected goals (xG)
1.4
1.4
Total shots
19
8
Shots on target
8
5
Corners
7
3
Fouls
13
13
Yellow cards
1
2
Match log
Iceland·Estonia
- Albert GuðmundssonOn: Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson30'
- Andri GuðjohnsenAssist: Hakon Arnar Haraldsson45'
- 52'Kevor PalumetsGoal
- 54'Karol MetsYellow card
- 61'Mihkel AinsaluOn: Patrik Kristal
- 64'Maksim PaskotsiAssist: Rasmus Peetson
- Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonOn: Gylfi Sigurðsson75'
- Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonOn: Arnór Sigurðsson75'
- 78'Karel MustmaaOn: Alex Matthias Tamm
- 81'Rasmus PeetsonYellow card
- Stefán Teitur ÞórðarsonYellow card84'
- Mikael EllertssonOn: Logi Tomasson84'
- Andri GuðjohnsenOn: Kristall Máni Ingason85'
- 86'Mattias KäitOn: Markus Soomets
Our prediction
Iceland vs Estonia Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
Iceland to Win · 10 picks
Match intel
Team news & context
collected 2026-09-26 10:22 UTC · collected after the models locked their picks- Iceland's first-choice goalkeeper Elias Rafn Olafsson will miss the opening Nations League matches due to injury after undergoing kidney surgery. Sports Mole → · 24 Sept
- Iceland coach Gunnlaugsson called up Breidablik's Anton Ara Einarsson as goalkeeper cover, with Brentford's Hakon Valdimarsson (back injury) or Runar Alex Runarsson possible replacements. Sports Mole → · 24 Sept
- Veteran Iceland defender Aron Gunnarsson has decided to retire from international football but remains available for selection until he officially signs off next month. Sports Mole → · 24 Sept
- Estonia striker Rauno Sappinen is injured and unavailable, with Alex Tamm likely to lead the attack in his absence. Sports Mole → · 24 Sept
- Iceland enter the match having failed to win any of their last five matches, including a 3-0 defeat to Argentina and a 4-0 loss to Mexico. Goal.com US → · 25 Sept
- Estonia arrive as Baltic Cup champions after beating the Faroe Islands and Lithuania to lift the trophy for a sixth time this summer. Sports Mole → · 24 Sept
- Iceland were relegated from Nations League B in 2025 after being beaten in both legs of a playoff tie against Kosovo. Sports Mole → · 24 Sept
- Real Sociedad's Orri Oskarsson is likely to partner Lazio forward Albert Gudmundsson up front for Iceland in the match. Sports Mole → · 24 Sept
Head-to-head
Oct 06, 2026Estonia 0–0 IcelandLeague C - 4
Sep 26, 2026Iceland 1–1 EstoniaLeague C - 1
Jan 08, 2023Iceland 1–1 EstoniaFriendlies 1
Lineups
Iceland (4-4-2)
- 12Hákon Rafn ValdimarssonG
- 4Victor PálssonD
- 16Stefán Teitur ÞórðarsonD
- 3Daníel GrétarssonD
- 19Mikael EllertssonD
- 20Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonM
- 7Hakon Arnar HaraldssonM
- 8Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonM
- 11Albert GuðmundssonM
- 22Andri GuðjohnsenF
- 9Orri ÓskarssonF
Estonia (5-3-2)
- 1Karl HeinG
- 6Rasmus PeetsonD
- 3Maksim PaskotsiD
- 2Märten KuuskD
- 18Karol MetsD
- 19Michael Schjønning-LarsenD
- 10Kevor PalumetsM
- 20Markus PoomM
- 4Mattias KäitM
- 11Mihkel AinsaluF
- 9Karel MustmaaF
Model predictions
LLM League table →8 of 8 models: Iceland to Win
CSClaude Sonnet 568%✕CLClaude Opus 4.868%✕GPGPT-572%✕DSDeepSeek V4 Pro73%✕QWQwen3 Max68%✕GKGrok 4.662%✕GMGemini 3.1 Pro75%✕KMKimi K2.660%✕CFCoin-flip Baseline57%✕
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